How Do Value Based Drafting

By Andre Belton


Value Based Drafting (VBD) was developed in order to assess each player's value not just with their projected numbers but also how they stack up against their co-players at their particular position. VBD was developed in 1996 for Fantasy Football. Within today's time, owners still actually use VBD as it really does give even more value in drafting. It has been proven that making detailed mathematical forecasts for each and every player does help in creating the great draft in your league.

VBD involves a great amount of data, forecasting and a lot of numbers to wrap up a certain decision. What's good about this is that there are websites available to provide the data one is looking for and these are fairly reliable sites that owners has been using for years.

VBD's Principle is pretty simple: The value of a player is determined not by the number of points he scores, but by how much he outscores his peers at his particular position.

These are two (02) simple steps followed by experts in order to come up with the statistics before and while making a decision:

1. In order to dominate any other league, you have to be able to support your theory with numbers. Now players can really be unpredictable at times and that's something that can't be controlled nor tampered with any other figures towards the end of each game. However, there are certain facts that cannot be changed as well no matter what the players do and how well they perform on each game. Owners should be able to project statistics, determine projected points, baseline, sort list versus position and the average of each player based on their current numbers and whoever will be drafted on their league. This needs to be done before the actual draft so that owners and decision makers are prepared when they are pressed to make a decision.

2.Once this has been set, it would be easier to just multiply and compare the number based on the league's need. It is also important to know the value relative to those players that would be available with your NEXT pick.

These are all statistically created, again, in order to see who the next best pick is during drafting. As a rule of thumb, you use the information as part of a guide on the draft but it takes another level to make the actual decision. Once you have the numbers in hand, it will be up to the owners whether or not to take the X player to X number of players for X number position. That is how you figure out your fantasy draft order.




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